Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.334262 0.438994 0.553510 0.686149 0.833862 0.991849 1.172213
2025-08-31 0.174104 0.303778 0.463921 0.666468 0.907911 1.180155 1.504647
2025-09-07 0.107078 0.242258 0.426577 0.674279 0.982137 1.339749 1.775779
2025-09-14 0.059077 0.188136 0.385517 0.667332 1.031187 1.464780 2.003415
2025-09-21 0.027094 0.141648 0.343148 0.649366 1.059191 1.558832 2.189564
2025-09-28 0.015979 0.128002 0.345624 0.689188 1.158495 1.737831 2.475441
2025-10-05 0.009635 0.120708 0.356005 0.738678 1.269435 1.930583 2.777508
2025-10-12 0.004502 0.110344 0.358758 0.775720 1.363085 2.101377 3.052818
2025-10-19 0.002500 0.109231 0.377163 0.835435 1.486806 2.309751 3.373866
2025-10-26 0.000774 0.103529 0.385731 0.879713 1.589404 2.491458 3.662471
2025-11-02 NaN 0.087991 0.372322 0.888836 1.643253 2.610949 3.874602
2025-11-09 NaN 0.059222 0.323868 0.838955 1.613211 2.621755 3.951664
2025-11-16 NaN 0.033886 0.272576 0.781224 1.572415 2.621279 4.019478
2025-11-23 NaN 0.021071 0.245619 0.760999 1.583269 2.687062 4.169686
2025-11-30 NaN 0.015026 0.235753 0.769138 1.634180 2.804540 4.383967
2025-12-07 NaN 0.008696 0.218481 0.761755 1.661125 2.889691 4.557099
2025-12-14 NaN 0.003513 0.196385 0.742467 1.668701 2.948011 4.695464
2025-12-21 NaN 0.003282 0.205795 0.785164 1.770494 3.133059 4.995518
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003631 0.220239 0.838112 1.888132 3.339662 5.323339
2026-01-04 NaN 0.003236 0.228041 0.877673 1.985334 3.518812 5.616263
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004153 0.247692 0.941330 2.119643 3.748238 5.973672
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004147 0.259144 0.988445 2.228670 3.943657 6.287787
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002346 0.252274 0.998144 2.280154 4.061327 6.502539